Singapore’s Performance in the Legatum Prosperity Index
This is what the index claims to do:
We define prosperity holistically to include both material wealth and quality of life. Rather than replicating other measurements that rank countries by their actual levels of material wealth or life satisfaction, the Index produces a ranking based on the conditions that foster prosperity – that is, the factors that promote economic competitiveness and improved liveability in a given country. We refer to these factors as drivers of prosperity and to those that impede prosperity, as restrainers. The Index endeavours to rank countries according to the strength of these drivers and restrainers, not according to simple measures of income and life satisfaction.
Their Country Rankings Table conveniently divides the factors they used into two categories: those to do with economic competitiveness and those to do with comparative livability.
Singapore ranks first on the economic competitive index, largely due to extremely high scores in ‘economic openness’ and ‘commercialising innovation’. And I do mean extremely: Singapore and Hong Kong get scores of 46 and 47 respectively for economic openness, and the next highest score is 20 (Belgium and Slovakia). I didn’t dig into Legatum’s methodology to find out how heavily economic openness is weighted, but suffice to say that Hong Kong ranks second on the economic competitive index. Clearly this is one factor that favours city states, which because of their lack of natural and human resources have no choice but to open their economies to trade. Singapore, however, is strongly penalised for ‘dependence on commodity exports (presumably refined oil) — in the top 20 countries on the prosperity index, only Singapore and Norway score negatives for dependence on commodity exports, and strong negatives at that.
The index that I find more interesting is the comparative livability index. It will not surprise many that Singapore doesn’t top the tables here. It’s ranked 17. Its biggest negatives are in ‘moderate climate’, ‘time for leisure’, and ‘religious freedom’. Compare HK’s biggest negatives: ‘pleasant environment’, ‘moderate climate’, and ‘family life’. I’m a bit puzzled by why both HK and Singapore get -11 for ‘moderate climate’: doesn’t HK clearly have a more moderate climate than Singapore’s? Anyway, it’s interesting that HK also has the same disparity between high economic competitiveness and comparatively lower livability — #2 for economic competitiveness versus #19 for livability. As noted in the report and summary of this year’s rankings, this seems to a be a common problem for rich Asian states: they tend to rank high on economic competitiveness but low on livability. Other examples are Taiwan which is #5 for economic competitiveness but #37 for livability and Japan which is #4 for economic competitiveness and #22 for livability. Wealthy ‘Western’ countries are more balanced in their economic competitiveness versus livability scores. Australia, the overall top-ranked country, scored 6th for economic competitiveness and 10th for livability. Next comes Austria which scored 9th and 8th in the two categories, then Finland with 12th and 5th.
Despite the disparity between the economic competitiveness and livability rankings, #17 is still not bad — I dare say it is something to be proud of given that Singapore wasn’t exactly given a favourable start etc. Singapore’s extremely low score for ‘time for leisure’, though, I find morbidly fascinating. It’s not just low, it is the lowest score of the 100 countries studied. Here are the countries that received scores of less than -3 on this count: Kuwait -28 (tied with Singapore), Israel -6, South Korea -19, Greece -7. So we’re at the very extreme end of a distribution of scores mostly (for less rich countries) clustered around 0, and mostly positive for rich countries. As one might expect, the very high end of scores for this category is dominated by countries in rich European countries (Denmark 45!!).
